@article{56,
  author = {Emanuele Gentile and Ming Zhao and Lucas Harris and Zhihong Tan},
  title = {Response of intense North Atlantic midlatitude cyclones to a warmer climate in the GFDL X-SHiELD global storm-resolving kilometer-scale model},
  abstract = {<p>Leveraging the novel kilometer-scale global storm-resolving model GFDL X-SHiELD, we investigate the impact of a 4 K increase in sea surface temperatures on Northern Hemisphere midlatitude cyclones, over a three-year-long period. X-SHiELD simulations show a poleward shift in midlatitude cyclone tracks under +4 K warming, consistent with CMIP model projections. Thanks to X-SHiELD{\textquoteright}s high resolution and explicit deep convection, we provide a detailed analysis of the warm and cold sectors of midlatitude cyclones, which are typically underrepresented in coarser CMIP models. Compositing the 100 most intense midlatitude cyclones in the North Atlantic, we find that the warm sector exhibits wind speed and precipitation increases of up to 15\% and 20\% per degree of warming, respectively, while changes in the cold sector are less pronounced. This study demonstrates X-SHiELD{\textquoteright}s potential to provide a realistic-looking picture into the evolving risks posed by midlatitude cyclones in a warmer world.</p>},
  year = {2024},
  journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
  url = {https://essopenarchive.org/users/745948/articles/1226569-response-of-intense-north-atlantic-midlatitude-cyclones-to-a-warmer-climate-in-the-gfdl-x-shield-global-storm-resolving-kilometer-scale-model},
  doi = {10.22541/essoar.172745037.73408753/v1},
}